Was the supercomputer result from last year and the years before correct?
https://www.90min.de/posts/supercomputer-says-champions-league-sieger-24-25-voraus
Hello. There's a news story about the supercomputer and its forecast. I'd like to know if the forecasts from previous years were correct.
I would like to explore Harvard scientifically and thus determine the supercomputer's quota.
So that I can first scientifically determine the accuracy, or rather the Harvard quota. ✅
Do you have any information about the supercomputer and how it performed in the years before? Did it/it predict everything correctly without any errors? Were there any major errors/many errors/no errors/… in the prediction?
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I cannot judge how good or how bad this model is, which is used for the simulation, even compared to other models.
After a short research I couldn't get much knowledge of the essential details. This is not surprising as the models are probably kept secret to generate profit.
Fact is: It remains a simulation. What really happens can't be predicted.
Even if all observed parameters behave as predicted; the parameters that cannot be observed so easily can be decisive at the end:
Maybe important key players will get hurt and fall out for a long time.
Perhaps completely unexpected transfers take place in the winter break, or certainly not expected …
An underdog could have a lucky draft.
etc.
In this context, I can only explicitly warn against participating in sports betting.
Your answer is absolutely inspiring.
I thought about it and the odds are certainly the same figures at Bet and Win.
That the payout is really low.
If you take a game from a club that always wins — and you have about 2 € in profit. That would make no sense in playing. Since it would be 2 € per game.
The team loses once and you lose your €24 completely.
So per game: €2 win vs. €24 loss.
Let's say you bet at €24 and that at 12 games. The result if there is a defeat at 12 games — is €24 for you that you lose. It's back to your initial sum.
Make sense only — if you bet on the game where the odds are from 2 € so — what you make about 500 €.
A game with 100% correct brightness and a lot of profit — is more sensitive than Harvard scientific test.
I thought of the sportsbooks but only — regarding the odds: they certainly have the same numbers as the supercomputer. So it makes no sense: the higher the probability of victory — the less profit.
The lower the probability of the victory — the more profit. But for this you need 100% correctness in clairvoyance regarding this situation from a game.
By quota — if your clairvoy has a correctness of 80%+ and the odds are always such games with high profit: 800 € per one game as payment — to 2 € bet in that one game.
This gives a mathematical wage on profit.
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But I just thought about the supercomputer. I would like to know how the quotas are. Does he/she have answered correctly in recent years?
Because information only makes sense for me — if I can arrange it. If I could classify the supercomputer as a correct prediction source on evidence and empire.