Is the risk of a third world war + nuclear war higher today than in 1983?

The nuclear war has been the most likely since 1990. He is still highly unlikely, but so close we were no longer since the end of the Cold War.

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To take the year 1983 is so significant, because this year we are two times past a nuclear war:

The first time was 26 September 1983.

A Soviet early warning system reported the launch of an American intercontinental missile. Staff officer Stanislaw Petrow decided to classify these warnings as false alarms and not to report on them.

This is so lapidar and simplistic, but if he had reported these alarms, the entire reporting chain would have been triggered, which would probably have taken place to fire Soviet nuclear missiles as a “reaction” on the launch of American missiles.

The link contains more information about this incident.

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The second time was 7 to 11 November 1983. There was NATO practice Able Archer instead of simulating a nuclear war. The whole thing happened under strict secrecy.

The Soviets nevertheless received information about the exercise and assumed that it was not an exercise but an actual attack by Krjuchkov, the KGB president, was not to be dismissed from the fact that this would be a first hit by NATO.

The Warsaw Pact gave its troops an alert and prepared for a nuclear war. When NATO learned that the Soviets considered the practice to be real, they shortened the practice and made it clear to the Soviets that they did not plan an attack.

Again, details in the link.

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In view of these two incidents, there can be no talk of the fact that today the chance of nuclear war is higher. This is no longer a question of the opinion, it is like a quiz question on which there is a clear and clear answer.

Most Russian and American nuclear missiles are not even ready to start at the moment. And today there are much less than 1983.