How likely is a plane crash and is fear of flying justified?

There are fewer accidents than on the roads, that is clear. However, this is also due to the fact that many more commercial vehicles drive than airplanes fly. If the same number of airplanes as cars were flying, then more accidents would happen.
In most cases, one plane crash destroys several hundred families.
Be that as it may, a flight to Egypt, for example, takes about 5 to 6 hours, not a bad flight, but how likely is it that an accident will happen in that time?
What do you think about this?

(1 votes)
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daCypher
12 years ago

The length of the flight is almost no matter, because most accidents happen when starting or landing. If you were driving with the car as often as you flee, the risk of dying in a car accident would still be higher than dying in a plane crash.

Statistically, a 20km long drive is as dangerous as a flight with an airplane.

There are at least two pilots on a plane. All important systems (motors, hydraulics, power supply, control etc.) are available at least twice, often up to five times. The planes are regularly very well maintained and the pilots regularly make trainings to be ready for any situation. Besides, the pilots also want to get home alive.

You can inform yourself about most airlines on the Internet how often and when a disaster has happened. Most German airlines have never had an accident with death.

Any crash or even any near crash of a big plane is immediately in the media. In car accidents, only the worst mass crashes are shown.

daCypher
12 years ago
Reply to  daCypher

A small tip that I like to give people with an fear of flight: check out if there’s a sailing airfield near you. The season is now over, but you can see a sailing airfield from the end of March / early April. There you can often fly relatively cheap times. The parts look awfully unstable and are rocked by every wind blow through the area, but you can talk to the pilot. He can show you the plane’s holding out more than you. That it’s not bad when you’re shaking wings or when there’s turbulence. This is quite a “crash course”, but after that you will get bored in a flight in a big plane.

eclipse14
12 years ago

An accident in aeronautics happens by a mistake. So that a plane really crashes or there are serious problems, meher things always come together at once. That is precisely why so few accidents happen in aviation, because this is very rare. In addition, the technology of the aircraft is getting better, the pilots are first-class trained people. You can’t say that to most drivers. So there are more accidents.

Sure, this comparison is deceptive, because flew in daily life is driven less than car. However, even the Federal Statistical Office is afraid to calculate a direct comparison between the different modes of transport aircraft, car and train, the data base is insufficient. However, it is difficult to find out the following: if the number of deadly accidental passengers is taken to the kilometres covered, then the car and rail plane will be far off in terms of safety.

Flight fear is really unnecessary. That the plane crashes exactly at the one who is afraid of it is more than unlikely.

LG

rudim1950
12 years ago

Hello,

it can be that somewhere in the world crashes at this moment or within the 6 hours. But there is no reason to assume that it will be the plane in which you sit. However, as in aviation: Stick on the facts! Let’s stick to the facts that prove that the plane after the train is the safest means of transport.

This results from an evaluation of accident statistics by the EU. Figures of the European Union indicate that the railroad comes to 0.2 accident deaths per one billion passenger kilometers (MGP). In the case of aeroplane, the value is 0.4 and in the case of a car is 6.

The statistics of the Federal Statistical Office from 2005 to 2009 are as follows:

Disasters on average per 1 billion passenger kilometers

Car: 275.8 Bus: 73.9 Tram: 42.3 (including city, high, floating and underground) Railway: 2.7 (including S-Bahn) Aircraft: 0.3 (Start weight above 5.7 tonnes)

Killed on average 1 billion passenger kilometers

Car: 2,93 Bus: 0,17 Tram: 0,16 (including city, high, floating and underground) Railway: 0,04 (including S-Bahn) Aircraft: 0,00 (Start weight above 5,7 tonnes)

One would have to fly over 18,000 years on a daily basis before the plane in which one is sitting falls. This is about twice as long as there is arable land.

Maybe the pure facts contribute to your calming. In addition, all airlines in Europe are subject to very strict control, both in terms of training of flying and ground personnel and maintenance and repair of aircraft. And the air traffic control also places very high demands on their staff and their equipment.

And that, with the same number as cars, there would be more accidents, is a guess that cannot be proved by facts.

So there is no reasonable reason to be restless, even if this may be emotionally different.

rudim1950
12 years ago
Reply to  Tredagor

Well, a lot of people are just emotionally afraid of a crash and can’t be calmed down by facts.

There is probably a role in being in a relatively narrow tube, hardly having a view to the outside (other than in the Behn or in a bus or car), and there are 2 people in the front, of whom one hopes that they will do everything right, because an aircraft cannot stop. Not every passenger can relax.

inocencia
12 years ago

Flight fear is always justified. Something can always happen, but it doesn’t have to.

And a plane crash is unlikely. So very unlikely!

I’ve got an animal fear, too, but I’ve always come down here.

And now think about what’s going on for Airlines. You shouldn’t save on a flight. And as long as you’re flying with an airplane, which seems safe and safe, nothing will happen to you.

Dropping off is really very rare. A very low probability. Can rest assured fly 🙂

FataMorgana2010
12 years ago

More accidents happen by car than by plane:

http://www.airplane crash.de/general/probability-aeroplane crash.html

The probability of crashing with the aircraft is 0.00000007 percent per flight.
The car is 0.000045 percent per trip.

In addition, most crashes occur with airlines that are new to the business or not have the most reliable machines. So don’t worry.

Silberfunken
12 years ago

You’ve already put it to the point. Flying is one of the safest means of transportation in the world. Something happens very rarely. This is because human failure is minimized by a lot of technology. But if something happens, then usually lethal.
In road traffic, human failure is more often observed, and an accident does not have to end deadly.
The requirement for a flight license is also significantly more demanding than the normal passenger car license.
Whether it’s anxious to fly or not, it’s not up to me to help the flight antlers, fears are usually irrational, so it doesn’t interest the fearful whether the fear is reasonable or unreasonable.

Summerfruits
12 years ago

I also had total flight fear and then we flew last year (flight lasted 2-3 hours). I had sooo panic fear in the airplane xD But then I was really fun having time also played with Nintendo and eating overcrowded, having also slept,before all when you landed,it is funny then yelling at all:D So, clear flight fear is justified.Aircraft crashes are however extremely rare.

LG:)

Leon2
12 years ago

The most dangerous of a flight is the journey to the airport 😉 Flying itself belongs to the safest way of travel in the world.
The probability of dying in a plane crash is 1 : 3.000.000.

And even if something really should happen, it’s not the end. You just have to react in time and get out of the plane to escape the smoke.

derJupp
12 years ago

I think it is very unlikely! Planes are checked more than vehicles. In particular, the sky is relatively free in comparison to the highway where everyone could take it. The most dangerous phase is the landing.

SibTiger
12 years ago

Statistics back or forth! I avoid flying (although almost everywhere else in the world), I have never flew and will probably never do it unless it was about life and death.

PiqueValet
12 years ago

Calculation: At about 550 million flights a year, 4 planes are crashing statistically per year.

That means 0.00000007 percent.

Dantekun
12 years ago

Well… planes are purely statistically the safest means of forwarding there (if you don’t count wheelchairs). So I wouldn’t head there.

But don’t talk about Provatma rails ^_^ which disassembles it regularly.

Vllt, you should read this: http://www.airplane-abbruch.de/

Stielhammer
12 years ago

There is no risk of a crash.

Hundetante
12 years ago

So I don’t want to come to you with any statistics as surely flying is. any airplane that starts can also crash.There the mouse does not bite a thread.Maintenance deficiencies, human failure, everything is possible.And that only a small percentage crashes does not change anything about the fact. They like to laugh about it or not.

herrpatzig
12 years ago

I can calm you down, your fear doesn’t make a crash more likely.

baindl
12 years ago

You’re doing a milk girl bill.

http://www.airplane crash.de/general/probability-aeroplane crash.html


larry2010
12 years ago

if it is german wings or another cheap line, the danger is naturally greater.

because it is enough to go out of the house and get something on the head, I do not think

eclipse14
12 years ago
Reply to  larry2010

Germanwings is Lufthansa’s subsidiary. The pilots there are just as trained as the ones of Lufthansa and the machines are waiting as those of Lufthansa. So you can’t really count this as an example. ;

ladymm
12 years ago

6 correct in the lottery are almost as likely if this helps you.